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1 article
2026
2 articles
2025
Liquidity-Incentive Bootstrap Model
Modeling the runway, uptake, and economic shape of a liquidity-incentive program before it became an expensive experiment.
Quant & forecasting · February 2025Collateral-Risk Monte Carlo Model
A Monte Carlo study that made tail risk visible enough to justify raising the collateral floor from 30 percent to 50 percent.
7 articles
2024
Oracle-Node Penalty Design
A penalty-design exercise balancing operator incentives, fault tolerance, and the need to keep bad behavior economically unattractive.
Quant & forecasting · September 2024Collateral vs Rewards Simulation
Using analytics and simulation outputs together to understand how reward design and collateral requirements pulled against each other.
Quant & forecasting · July 2024Investor-Unlock Scenario Simulation
A scenario simulator built to show how unlock design changes sell pressure, allocation dynamics, and governance conversations.
Quant & forecasting · June 2024Optimizing Queueing Models in Server Systems
Using queueing theory to reason about throughput, wait times, and architecture tradeoffs instead of hand-waving about server efficiency.
Quant & forecasting · June 2024Token Supply & Capacity Model
A first predictive simulator linking emissions, capacity, utilization, and price to answer board-level questions about network design.
Quant & forecasting · May 2024Advanced Forecasting with Prophet
A practical forecasting workflow for turning messy game-sales data into explainable predictions without building a bespoke model stack from scratch.
Quant & forecasting · May 2024How App-Store Rank Affects Sales
A mixed econometrics and feature-importance study on how app rankings, impressions, and sales actually interact.
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