Data Science Case Studies

Forecasting, evaluation, applied ML, and decision-support tooling built for messy real-world constraints.

This section covers the work where modeling and product meet: forecast quality systems, localization logic, tokenomics simulations, experimentation analysis, and interactive tools that help people think more clearly about probability and operational risk.

Forecasting Model evaluation Localization systems Interactive tools

World of Warships Ship Drop Simulator - A Fan-Made Probability Tool

An unofficial decision-support tool that turns drop-rate assumptions and pity rules into clear probability curves, expected values, and collection odds.

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World of Warships ship drop simulator preview

Localization Is Not Translation - Context Cartridges for International Football

A localization pattern that keeps generated sports content culturally native without letting the model invent the wrong teams, references, or tone.

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Locale controls for context cartridges

Beyond WAPE - Building a Forecast Quality Framework

A pragmatic evaluation system for deciding whether a model is safe to ship, not just numerically impressive.

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Forecast quality framework flowchart

Post-Launch Lessons: Debugging Smart-Contract Rewards and the Year-1 Data Roadmap

What the first launch cycle exposed about reward bugs, reporting gaps, and the data roadmap needed to keep the system legible.

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Year one data roadmap density chart

Slash and Secure - Designing Oracle-Node Penalties

A penalty-design exercise balancing operator incentives, fault tolerance, and the need to keep bad behavior economically unattractive.

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Oracle slashing visualization

Investor Unlock Schedules in Python - Nine Scenario Simulation

A scenario simulator built to show how unlock design changes sell pressure, allocation dynamics, and governance conversations.

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Investor unlock sell pressure chart

Unraveling the Impact of Chart Positioning on App Sales

A mixed econometrics and feature-importance study on how app rankings, impressions, and sales actually interact.

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Chart positioning analysis preview

Advanced Forecasting with Prophet

A practical forecasting workflow for turning messy game-sales data into explainable predictions without building a bespoke model stack from scratch.

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Prophet forecasting preview